Caltrops - Wall Street Kid





	[quote name="CALTROPS COMPUTRON"]Forum Accuracy: ~70% - Caltrops was right more often than wrong Biggest Successes: Pillars of Eternity, Order of the Stick, To Be or Not To Be, Volgarr Biggest Disasters: Ouya, Mighty No. 9, Yogventures, CLANG, Skarp Razor Still Ongoing After 13 Years: Star Citizen ($900M raised, no release date) <table border="1" cellpadding="8" cellspacing="0" style="color:white"><tr><th>Project</th><th>Caltrops Prediction</th><th>Results</th><th>Notable Quote</th></tr><tr><td>Order of the Stick</td><td>Amazed at funding</td><td>SUCCESS - Delivered, exceeded expectations</td><td>"[Users were] amazed at the substantial funding amount" - Worm</td></tr><tr><td>Ouya Console</td><td>Skeptical</td><td>FAILURE - Hardware disaster, servers killed 2019</td><td>"plays Newgrounds.com games" and "costs more" - Worm</td></tr><tr><td>Mighty No. 9</td><td>Tracked the decline</td><td>FAILURE - Massive disappointment, broken launch</td><td>"Third most-funded Kickstarter ever" - skip</td></tr><tr><td>Star Citizen</td><td>Deeply skeptical</td><td>ONGOING - 13 years in alpha, $900M raised, no release</td><td>"I can't believe anyone seriously thought this was going anywhere" - skip</td></tr><tr><td>Tropes vs Women</td><td>Controversial / Divided</td><td>DELIVERED - Completed series amid harassment</td><td>"Highly controversial thread with significant user debate" - Mysterio</td></tr><tr><td>Oculus Rift</td><td>Interested</td><td>COMPLICATED - Delivered, sold to Facebook for $2B, backers felt betrayed</td><td>"[Users made] jokes about peripherals" - motherfuckerfoodeater</td></tr><tr><td>Penny Arcade</td><td>Critical of concept</td><td>CONTROVERSIAL - Delivered, seen as abuse of platform</td><td>"How many cancer curing video games could that buy?" - Worm</td></tr><tr><td>Double Fine Adventure</td><td>Critical of management</td><td>TROUBLED - 3 years late, split in half, but finished</td><td>"[Criticized] accounting practices" - fabio</td></tr><tr><td>Yogventures</td><td>Noted cancellation</td><td>FAILURE - Developer collapsed, backers got nothing</td><td>"Minecraft clone by famous YouTube players" - Worm</td></tr><tr><td>Pillars of Eternity</td><td>Enthusiastic</td><td>SUCCESS - Critical/commercial hit, saved Obsidian</td><td>"Funded $1.1 million in approximately 24 hours" - jeep</td></tr><tr><td>Dreamfall Chapters</td><td>Supportive</td><td>DELIVERED - Mixed reviews but completed</td><td>"I'm unashamed to say I funded it" - skip</td></tr><tr><td>CLANG (Neal Stephenson)</td><td>Critical</td><td>FAILURE - Cancelled after 2 years</td><td>"Half a million to make something that looks worse" - Favorite Movie: The Crow</td></tr><tr><td>Ze Frank Show</td><td>Discussed</td><td>SUCCESS - Delivered, launched career phase</td><td>"[Discussion about] whether creator did donation drive before ending" - Entropy Stew</td></tr><tr><td>To Be or Not To Be</td><td>Positive</td><td>SUCCESS - Record-breaking, spawned sequels</td><td>"[Positive reception]" - Fullofkittens</td></tr><tr><td>Divekick</td><td>Positive</td><td>SUCCESS - Got publisher deal, released</td><td>"better human beings" - than piglike and bald</td></tr><tr><td>Volgarr the Viking</td><td>Optimistic</td><td>SUCCESS - Critical acclaim, got sequel 11 years later</td><td>"looking very promising" - Mischief Maker</td></tr><tr><td>Strike Suit Zero</td><td>Modest praise</td><td>SUCCESS - Delivered quickly, multiple ports</td><td>"pretty good" - Mischief Maker</td></tr><tr><td>Chaos Reborn</td><td>Interested</td><td>SUCCESS - 85/100 Metacritic, delivered on time</td><td>"Wizard Tactics with Bluff and Deception?" - jeep</td></tr><tr><td>Shaq Fu: A Legend Reborn</td><td>Skeptical</td><td>POOR - 4 years late, negative reviews, but shipped</td><td>"[Noted] IndieGoGo keeps funds regardless" - Worm</td></tr><tr><td>Bob's Game</td><td>Concerned</td><td>BIZARRE - Removed from Steam, developer breakdown</td><td>"Creator went insane, received $10,000" - Mysterio</td></tr><tr><td>Skarp Laser Razor</td><td>Called it a scam</td><td>SCAM - Suspended by Kickstarter, never delivered</td><td>"Kickstarter closed it as obvious scam" - skip</td></tr><tr><td>Ctrl+Alt+Del Box Set</td><td>Creator controversy</td><td>DELIVERED - Books shipped despite creator's reputation</td><td>"Fully funded in one day" - Siskel and Ebert</td></tr><tr><td>Balance of the Planet</td><td>Noted</td><td>FAILED TO FUND - Got 9% of goal</td><td>"Requested $150,000" - Siskel and Ebert</td></tr><tr><td>Healbe GoBe</td><td>Fraud concerns</td><td>DUBIOUS - Shipped but claims never verified</td><td>"IndieGoGo complicity in potentially fraudulent campaign" - Healbe thread</td></tr><tr><td>Dresden Codak</td><td>Skeptical of ask</td><td>DELIVERED - Books produced and shipped</td><td>"$700,000 to update twice monthly... You won the thread. Everybody go home." - fabio</td></tr><tr><td>System Shock Remake</td><td>Critical</td><td>EVENTUALLY DELIVERED - 7 years late but good</td><td>"Developers fucked up the remaster" - Kirahu Nagasawa</td></tr><tr><td>Apocalypse Now Game</td><td>Skeptical of pitch</td><td>FAILURE - Never funded, never made</td><td>"No competent game uses 'elements' in pitch" - MM</td></tr><tr><td>Instax Camera Adaptor</td><td>Mocked</td><td>FUNDED - $559K raised</td><td>"Tape an iPhone to an Instamatic" - The Happiness Engine</td></tr><tr><td>Laser Watch</td><td>Skeptical</td><td>FUNDED - Over $1.3M raised</td><td>"Vague wish funded over $1.3 million" - The Happiness Engine</td></tr><tr><td>The Decemberists Board Game</td><td>Dismayed</td><td>FUNDED - 600% funded</td><td>"That is depressing" - skip</td></tr><tr><td>Da Share Zone Card Game</td><td>Positive</td><td>FUNDED - 4x goal</td><td>"is pretty great" - Fullofkittens</td></tr></table>[/quote]