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| Re: Excessive dice in strategy games by Tansin A. Darcos (TDARCOS) 03/24/2012, 4:43pm PDT | ||||
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Mischief Maker wrote: Roderick Thorpe back in 1962 was a mathematician who proved a maxim believed among gamblers, "cards have no memory." What he discovered was that in a standard play of poker, cards that are used are now gone from the deck (casinos played single-deck poker then), meaning that once the high cards were gone, you now could determine what cards were left, vastly improving your odds. Thorpe basically invented card counting. Casinos lost a lot of money until they figured out that this was not some player's "system," it was a legitimate mathematical theorem, as legitimate as the mathematical odds in computing the value of the probability of a particular card sequence, or why a royal flush is less common than 5 in a row. Nowadays you can't do counting - not because it's illegal, the casinos tried to do that but got shot down - but because they watch for betting patterns related to card counting and because they use multi-deck shoes. But the fact remains that card counting eliminated the human element in poker, you could win regardless of what other people said they did, simply by seeing what cards were shown. |
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Excessive dice in strategy games by 03/24/2012, 3:26pm PDT  Re: Excessive dice in strategy games by 03/24/2012, 4:43pm PDT Error in previous post - Thrope proved that cards DO have a memory NT by 03/24/2012, 4:44pm PDT |
